17 Oct · 19:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gesiarz
ELO 1515
FormWWLLL
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Kocik
TK
🇵🇱Tomasz Kocik
ELO 1699
FormWWLLW
31%
69%
Fair odds · Kocik
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 76% · 1.31· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~75 pts
1-3
27%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
12%
3-2
11%
Elo Gap+184
H2H9-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+184)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-3)