17 Oct · 18:15 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gesiarz
ELO 1515
FormWWLLL
77%Win chancemodel fair 1.30Gesiarz
DM
🇵🇱Dariusz Maszczynski
ELO 1240
FormLLLLW
77%
23%
🌟Gesiarz stays under total as favourite 67% (63)
Fair odds · Gesiarz
Model 77% · 1.30vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 61%Total ~71 pts
3-0
33%
3-1
28%
3-2
16%
2-3
10%
1-3
8%
Elo Gap+275
H2H39-20
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+275)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (39-20)