17 Oct · 17:50 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
TK
🇵🇱Tomasz Kocik
ELO 1699
FormWWLLW
79%Win chancemodel fair 1.27Kocik
KM
🇵🇱Krzysztof Malcher
ELO 1398
FormLWLLW
79%
21%
Fair odds · Kocik
Model 79% · 1.27vsMarket 83% · 1.21· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 63%Total ~74 pts
3-0
34%
3-1
29%
3-2
16%
2-3
9%
1-3
8%
Elo Gap+301
H2H4-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+301)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-0)