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17 Oct · 13:55 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
JRJaroslaw Rolak
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Rolak
ELO 1304
1-3Final setsDabrowski won
IDIgor Dabrowski
🇵🇱Igor Dabrowski
ELO 1419
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Dabrowski at 62%. The actual result was Igor Dabrowski 1-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Igor Dabrowski favoured — closing 1.55
Favourite won
Total 75.5
87 points played
Over
Set handicap
Igor Dabrowski −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Igor Dabrowski −3.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jaroslaw Rolak is favoured to win, below means Igor Dabrowski.

▲ Jaroslaw Rolakpre 40% → final 2%
Igor Dabrowski ▼
Biggest swing 51 pts72 points · 4 games