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17 Oct · 14:40 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
TPTadeusz Piotrowski
🇵🇱Tadeusz Piotrowski
ELO 1417
3-2Final setsPiotrowski won
MMMateusz Misiak
🇵🇱Mateusz Misiak
ELO 1403
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Piotrowski at 50%. The actual result was Tadeusz Piotrowski 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Tadeusz Piotrowski favoured — closing 1.8
Favourite won
Total 74.5
104 points played
Over
Set handicap
Tadeusz Piotrowski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Tadeusz Piotrowski −0.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5.1
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Tadeusz Piotrowski is favoured to win, below means Mateusz Misiak.

▲ Tadeusz Piotrowskipre 54% → final 23%
Mateusz Misiak ▼
Biggest swing 52 ptsMisiak recovered from 39%72 points · 5 games