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DeuceLab
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17 Oct · 14:45 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
DMDaniel Morawiec
🇵🇱Daniel Morawiec
ELO 1493
3-1Final setsMorawiec won
MLMarcin Lach
🇵🇱Marcin Lach
ELO 1627
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Lach at 68%. The actual result was Daniel Morawiec 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Marcin Lach favoured — closing 1.37
Upset
Total 73.5
70 points played
Under
Set handicap
Marcin Lach −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Marcin Lach −6.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
6.25
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Daniel Morawiec is favoured to win, below means Marcin Lach.

▲ Daniel Morawiecpre 34% → final 19%
Marcin Lach ▼
Biggest swing 84 ptsLach recovered from 12%72 points · 5 games