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17 Oct · 16:35 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
BCBlazej Cioch
🇵🇱Blazej Cioch
ELO 1411
3-2Final setsCioch won
MLMikolaj Lukaszewski
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1297
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Cioch at 60%. The actual result was Blazej Cioch 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Blazej Cioch favoured — closing 1.5
Favourite won
Total 75.5
102 points played
Over
Set handicap
Blazej Cioch −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Blazej Cioch −4.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.4
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Blazej Cioch is favoured to win, below means Mikolaj Lukaszewski.

▲ Blazej Ciochpre 64% → final 96%
Mikolaj Lukaszewski ▼
Biggest swing 75 ptsCioch recovered from 21%72 points · 5 games