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17 Oct · 17:20 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
KSKarol Sulkowski
🇵🇱Karol Sulkowski
ELO 1348
3-2Final setsSulkowski won
MLMikolaj Lukaszewski
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1297
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Sulkowski at 54%. The actual result was Karol Sulkowski 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Karol Sulkowski favoured — closing 1.65
Favourite won
Set handicap
Karol Sulkowski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Karol Sulkowski −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.45
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Karol Sulkowski is favoured to win, below means Mikolaj Lukaszewski.

▲ Karol Sulkowskipre 58% → final 78%
Mikolaj Lukaszewski ▼
Biggest swing 62 ptsSulkowski recovered from 33%72 points · 5 games