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17 Oct · 19:10 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
CPCezary Pawlik
🇵🇱Cezary Pawlik
ELO 1671
3-1Final setsPawlik won
GMGrzegorz Mucha
🇵🇱Grzegorz Mucha
ELO 1535
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Pawlik at 63%. The actual result was Cezary Pawlik 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Cezary Pawlik favoured — closing 1.7
Favourite won
Set handicap
Cezary Pawlik −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Cezary Pawlik −1.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
4
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Cezary Pawlik is favoured to win, below means Grzegorz Mucha.

▲ Cezary Pawlikpre 61% → final 26%
Grzegorz Mucha ▼
Biggest swing 72 ptsMucha recovered from 16%72 points · 5 games