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17 Oct · 20:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
JSJakub Skorupa
🇵🇱Jakub Skorupa
ELO 1539
3-2Final setsSkorupa won
GMGrzegorz Mucha
🇵🇱Grzegorz Mucha
ELO 1535
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Mucha at 51%. The actual result was Jakub Skorupa 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Grzegorz Mucha favoured — closing 1.52
Upset
Set handicap
Grzegorz Mucha −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Grzegorz Mucha −2.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jakub Skorupa is favoured to win, below means Grzegorz Mucha.

▲ Jakub Skorupapre 45% → final 100%
Grzegorz Mucha ▼
Biggest swing 81 ptsSkorupa recovered from 19%72 points · 5 games