17 Oct · 23:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
IS
🇵🇱Igor Szymanski
ELO 1304
FormWLLWW
76%Win chancemodel fair 1.32Badura
JB
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Badura
ELO 1560
FormLLWWL
24%
76%
Fair odds · Badura
Model 76% · 1.32vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 60%Total ~75 pts
0-3
33%
1-3
27%
2-3
16%
3-2
10%
3-1
9%
Elo Gap+256
H2H4-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+256)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-1)