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17 Oct · 22:55 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MLMikolaj Lukaszewski
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1293
2-3Final setsCioch won
BCBlazej Cioch
🇵🇱Blazej Cioch
ELO 1432
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Cioch at 64%. The actual result was Blazej Cioch 2-3 — the pick was correct.

Mikolaj Lukaszewski — profile →Blazej Cioch — profile →Head-to-head →
How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Blazej Cioch favoured — closing 1.42
Favourite won
Total 73.5
97 points played
Over
Set handicap
Blazej Cioch −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Blazej Cioch −5.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mikolaj Lukaszewski is favoured to win, below means Blazej Cioch.

▲ Mikolaj Lukaszewskipre 31% → final 4%
Blazej Cioch ▼
Biggest swing 73 ptsCioch recovered from 23%72 points · 5 games