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18 Oct · 01:10 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
GMGrzegorz Mucha
🇵🇱Grzegorz Mucha
ELO 1531
3-2Final setsMucha won
CPCezary Pawlik
🇵🇱Cezary Pawlik
ELO 1664
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Pawlik at 65%. The actual result was Grzegorz Mucha 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Cezary Pawlik favoured — closing 1.57
Upset
Set handicap
Cezary Pawlik −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Cezary Pawlik −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5.1
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Grzegorz Mucha is favoured to win, below means Cezary Pawlik.

▲ Grzegorz Muchapre 30% → final 74%
Cezary Pawlik ▼
Biggest swing 83 ptsMucha recovered from 7%72 points · 5 games