18 Oct · 04:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JB
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Badura
ELO 1551
FormLLWWL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Badura
DF
🇵🇱Damian Fira
ELO 1411
FormLLLWL
65%
35%
Fair odds · Badura
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~75 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+140
H2H4-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+140)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-1)