18 Oct · 06:50 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
WU
🇵🇱Wojciech Urban
ELO 1500
FormLLLWW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Tkaczyk
HT
🇵🇱Henryk Tkaczyk
ELO 1602
FormWLWWW
39%
61%
🌟Urban goes over total as underdog 65% (71)
Fair odds · Tkaczyk
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 61% · 1.64· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~77 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
3-1
15%
2-3
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+102
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+102)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)