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18 Oct · 04:10 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
PSPiotr Staniszewski
🇵🇱Piotr Staniszewski
ELO 1404
2-3Final setsPoloszczanski won
DPDawid Poloszczanski
🇵🇱Dawid Poloszczanski
ELO 1302
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Staniszewski at 53%. The actual result was Dawid Poloszczanski 2-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Piotr Staniszewski favoured — closing 1.65
Upset
Total 76.5
94 points played
Over
Set handicap
Piotr Staniszewski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Piotr Staniszewski −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Piotr Staniszewski is favoured to win, below means Dawid Poloszczanski.

▲ Piotr Staniszewskipre 50% → final 9%
Dawid Poloszczanski ▼
Biggest swing 68 ptsPoloszczanski recovered from 27%72 points · 5 games