18 Oct · 06:40 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DF
🇵🇱Damian Fira
ELO 1407
FormWLWLL
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Durda
MD
🇵🇱Michal Durda
ELO 1574
FormWWWWW
32%
68%
Fair odds · Durda
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 60% · 1.67· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~75 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+167
H2H3-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+167)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-0)