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18 Oct · 05:05 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
JBJaroslaw Badura
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Badura
ELO 1524
1-3Final setsSikon won
MSMateusz Sikon
🇵🇱Mateusz Sikon
ELO 1407
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Badura at 66%. The actual result was Mateusz Sikon 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jaroslaw Badura favoured — closing 1.37
Upset
Total 74.5
80 points played
Over
Set handicap
Jaroslaw Badura −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Jaroslaw Badura −6.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jaroslaw Badura is favoured to win, below means Mateusz Sikon.

▲ Jaroslaw Badurapre 64% → final 15%
Mateusz Sikon ▼
Biggest swing 66 ptsSikon recovered from 24%72 points · 4 games