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18 Oct · 05:15 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
DPDawid Poloszczanski
🇵🇱Dawid Poloszczanski
ELO 1302
3-0Final setsPoloszczanski won
TPTadeusz Piotrowski
🇵🇱Tadeusz Piotrowski
ELO 1376
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Piotrowski at 63%. The actual result was Dawid Poloszczanski 3-0 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Tadeusz Piotrowski favoured — closing 1.22
Upset
Total 71.5
52 points played
Under
Set handicap
Tadeusz Piotrowski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Tadeusz Piotrowski −8.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
20
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Dawid Poloszczanski is favoured to win, below means Tadeusz Piotrowski.

▲ Dawid Poloszczanskipre 39% → final 100%
Tadeusz Piotrowski ▼
Biggest swing 64 ptsPoloszczanski recovered from 36%51 points · 3 games