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18 Oct · 05:40 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
PSPiotr Staniszewski
🇵🇱Piotr Staniszewski
ELO 1404
3-1Final setsStaniszewski won
BWBartlomiej Wisniewski
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Wisniewski
ELO 1310
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Staniszewski at 59%. The actual result was Piotr Staniszewski 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Piotr Staniszewski favoured — closing 1.52
Favourite won
Total 76.5
75 points played
Under
Set handicap
Piotr Staniszewski −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Piotr Staniszewski −3.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Piotr Staniszewski is favoured to win, below means Bartlomiej Wisniewski.

▲ Piotr Staniszewskipre 63% → final 94%
Bartlomiej Wisniewski ▼
Biggest swing 59 ptsStaniszewski recovered from 38%72 points · 4 games