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18 Oct · 06:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
DPDawid Poloszczanski
🇵🇱Dawid Poloszczanski
ELO 1302
3-2Final setsPoloszczanski won
BWBartlomiej Wisniewski
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Wisniewski
ELO 1310
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Wisniewski at 52%. The actual result was Dawid Poloszczanski 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Dawid Poloszczanski favoured — closing 1.7
Favourite won
Total 77.5
104 points played
Over
Set handicap
Dawid Poloszczanski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Dawid Poloszczanski −1.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.3
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Dawid Poloszczanski is favoured to win, below means Bartlomiej Wisniewski.

▲ Dawid Poloszczanskipre 44% → final 49%
Bartlomiej Wisniewski ▼
Biggest swing 60 ptsWisniewski recovered from 17%72 points · 5 games