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18 Oct · 06:55 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
PSPiotr Staniszewski
🇵🇱Piotr Staniszewski
ELO 1404
3-2Final setsStaniszewski won
MTMateusz Trela
🇵🇱Mateusz Trela
ELO 1360
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Staniszewski at 53%. The actual result was Piotr Staniszewski 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Piotr Staniszewski favoured — closing 1.75
Favourite won
Total 75.5
106 points played
Over
Set handicap
Piotr Staniszewski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Piotr Staniszewski −0.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.7
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Piotr Staniszewski is favoured to win, below means Mateusz Trela.

▲ Piotr Staniszewskipre 57% → final 78%
Mateusz Trela ▼
Biggest swing 64 ptsStaniszewski recovered from 34%72 points · 5 games