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18 Oct · 07:20 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MSMaciej Sinicki
🇵🇱Maciej Sinicki
ELO 1337
2-3Final setsPiotrowski won
TPTadeusz Piotrowski
🇵🇱Tadeusz Piotrowski
ELO 1376
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Piotrowski at 55%. The actual result was Tadeusz Piotrowski 2-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Tadeusz Piotrowski favoured — closing 1.3
Favourite won
Total 71.5
99 points played
Over
Set handicap
Tadeusz Piotrowski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Tadeusz Piotrowski −7.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Maciej Sinicki is favoured to win, below means Tadeusz Piotrowski.

▲ Maciej Sinickipre 48% → final 94%
Tadeusz Piotrowski ▼
Biggest swing 58 ptsSinicki recovered from 39%56 points · 3 games