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18 Oct · 07:40 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
DPDawid Poloszczanski
🇵🇱Dawid Poloszczanski
ELO 1302
3-2Final setsPoloszczanski won
MTMateusz Trela
🇵🇱Mateusz Trela
ELO 1360
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Trela at 58%. The actual result was Dawid Poloszczanski 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mateusz Trela favoured — closing 1.6
Upset
Total 76.5
108 points played
Over
Set handicap
Mateusz Trela −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Mateusz Trela −2.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Dawid Poloszczanski is favoured to win, below means Mateusz Trela.

▲ Dawid Poloszczanskipre 38% → final 0%
Mateusz Trela ▼
Biggest swing 42 pts72 points · 5 games