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18 Oct · 08:10 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
BWBartlomiej Wisniewski
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Wisniewski
ELO 1310
3-1Final setsWisniewski won
TPTadeusz Piotrowski
🇵🇱Tadeusz Piotrowski
ELO 1376
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Piotrowski at 60%. The actual result was Bartlomiej Wisniewski 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Tadeusz Piotrowski favoured — closing 1.35
Upset
Total 72.5
75 points played
Over
Set handicap
Tadeusz Piotrowski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Tadeusz Piotrowski −6.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
6.5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Bartlomiej Wisniewski is favoured to win, below means Tadeusz Piotrowski.

▲ Bartlomiej Wisniewskipre 43% → final 99%
Tadeusz Piotrowski ▼
Biggest swing 76 ptsWisniewski recovered from 24%72 points · 4 games