18 Oct · 10:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
WB
🇵🇱Witold Buczynski
ELO 1370
FormLLLWL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Gajda
RG
🇵🇱Rafal Gajda
ELO 1534
FormWWWWL
33%
67%
Fair odds · Gajda
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 60% · 1.66· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~76 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+164
H2H11-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+164)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)