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18 Oct · 08:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MMMarcin Marchlewski
🇵🇱Marcin Marchlewski
ELO 1623
3-1Final setsMarchlewski won
GKGracjan Kesik
🇵🇱Gracjan Kesik
ELO 1509
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Marchlewski at 61%. The actual result was Marcin Marchlewski 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Marchlewski favoured — closing 1.5
Favourite won
Total 73.5
73 points played
Under
Set handicap
Marchlewski −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Marchlewski −4.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.1
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Marcin Marchlewski is favoured to win, below means Gracjan Kesik.

▲ Marcin Marchlewskipre 65% → final 0%
Gracjan Kesik ▼
Biggest swing 69 ptsKesik recovered from 31%66 points · 4 games