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18 Oct · 08:45 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
JMJakub Michalski
🇵🇱Jakub Michalski
ELO 1352
3-0Final setsMichalski won
WWWojciech Wojtaszczyk
🇵🇱Wojciech Wojtaszczyk
ELO 1546
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Wojtaszczyk at 74%. The actual result was Jakub Michalski 3-0 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Wojciech Wojtaszczyk favoured — closing 1.22
Upset
Total 71.5
60 points played
Under
Set handicap
Wojciech Wojtaszczyk −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Wojciech Wojtaszczyk −8.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
21
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jakub Michalski is favoured to win, below means Wojciech Wojtaszczyk.

▲ Jakub Michalskipre 21% → final 90%
Wojciech Wojtaszczyk ▼
Biggest swing 78 ptsMichalski recovered from 15%59 points · 3 games