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18 Oct · 09:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
BWBartlomiej Wisniewski
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Wisniewski
ELO 1322
3-1Final setsWisniewski won
MTMateusz Trela
🇵🇱Mateusz Trela
ELO 1360
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Trela at 55%. The actual result was Bartlomiej Wisniewski 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mateusz Trela favoured — closing 1.8
Upset
Total 77.5
70 points played
Under
Set handicap
Mateusz Trela −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Mateusz Trela −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
4.65
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Bartlomiej Wisniewski is favoured to win, below means Mateusz Trela.

▲ Bartlomiej Wisniewskipre 41% → final 95%
Mateusz Trela ▼
Biggest swing 75 ptsWisniewski recovered from 22%69 points · 4 games