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18 Oct · 09:05 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
PJPatryk Jedrzejak
🇵🇱Patryk Jedrzejak
ELO 1641
3-2Final setsJedrzejak won
RGRafal Gajda
🇵🇱Rafal Gajda
ELO 1542
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Jedrzejak at 60%. The actual result was Patryk Jedrzejak 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Patryk Jedrzejak favoured — closing 1.5
Favourite won
Total 75.5
89 points played
Over
Set handicap
Patryk Jedrzejak −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Patryk Jedrzejak −4.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.35
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Patryk Jedrzejak is favoured to win, below means Rafal Gajda.

▲ Patryk Jedrzejakpre 57% → final 79%
Rafal Gajda ▼
Biggest swing 76 ptsJedrzejak recovered from 6%72 points · 5 games