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18 Oct · 10:20 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
PJPatryk Jedrzejak
🇵🇱Patryk Jedrzejak
ELO 1641
3-0Final setsJedrzejak won
JMJakub Michalski
🇵🇱Jakub Michalski
ELO 1352
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Jedrzejak at 78%. The actual result was Patryk Jedrzejak 3-0 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Patryk Jedrzejak favoured — closing 1.15
Favourite won
Total 70.5
57 points played
Under
Set handicap
Patryk Jedrzejak −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Patryk Jedrzejak −9.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
2.5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Patryk Jedrzejak is favoured to win, below means Jakub Michalski.

▲ Patryk Jedrzejakpre 77% → final 99%
Jakub Michalski ▼
Biggest swing 23 pts56 points · 3 games