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18 Oct · 11:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
DPDawid Poloszczanski
🇵🇱Dawid Poloszczanski
ELO 1304
3-0Final setsPoloszczanski won
JNJakub Nosiadek
🇵🇱Jakub Nosiadek
ELO 1333
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Nosiadek at 55%. The actual result was Dawid Poloszczanski 3-0 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jakub Nosiadek favoured — closing 1.75
Upset
Total 75.5
58 points played
Under
Set handicap
Jakub Nosiadek −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Jakub Nosiadek −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
7.25
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Dawid Poloszczanski is favoured to win, below means Jakub Nosiadek.

▲ Dawid Poloszczanskipre 48% → final 94%
Jakub Nosiadek ▼
Biggest swing 50 pts57 points · 3 games