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18 Oct · 16:55 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
JZJacek Zelezik
🇵🇱Jacek Zelezik
ELO 1623
3-1Final setsZelezik won
KKKacper Kwiatkowski
🇵🇱Kacper Kwiatkowski
ELO 1386
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Zelezik at 71%. The actual result was Jacek Zelezik 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Zelezik favoured — closing 1.7
Favourite won
Total 71.5
75 points played
Over
Set handicap
Zelezik −2.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Zelezik −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.65
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jacek Zelezik is favoured to win, below means Kacper Kwiatkowski.

▲ Jacek Zelezikpre 76% → final 100%
Kacper Kwiatkowski ▼
Biggest swing 50 pts72 points · 4 games