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18 Oct · 11:20 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MMMarcin Marchlewski
🇵🇱Marcin Marchlewski
ELO 1632
1-3Final setsKufel won
KKKarol Kufel
🇵🇱Karol Kufel
ELO 1542
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Marchlewski at 61%. The actual result was Karol Kufel 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Marcin Marchlewski favoured — closing 1.45
Upset
Total 74.5
73 points played
Under
Set handicap
Marcin Marchlewski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Marcin Marchlewski −5.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Marcin Marchlewski is favoured to win, below means Karol Kufel.

▲ Marcin Marchlewskipre 65% → final 25%
Karol Kufel ▼
Biggest swing 76 ptsKufel recovered from 12%72 points · 5 games