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18 Oct · 18:05 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
LPLukasz Pietraszko
🇵🇱Lukasz Pietraszko
ELO 1595
3-0Final setsPietraszko won
MMMichal Minda
🇵🇱Michal Minda
ELO 1463
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Pietraszko at 59%. The actual result was Lukasz Pietraszko 3-0 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Pietraszko favoured — closing 1.45
Favourite won
Total 74.5
56 points played
Under
Set handicap
Pietraszko −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Pietraszko −5.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
4.35
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Lukasz Pietraszko is favoured to win, below means Michal Minda.

▲ Lukasz Pietraszkopre 63% → final 100%
Michal Minda ▼
Biggest swing 41 pts56 points · 3 games