18 Oct · 13:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JM
🇵🇱Jakub Michalski
ELO 1352
FormLWWLL
72%Win chancemodel fair 1.39Jadach
OJ
🇵🇱Oskar Jadach
ELO 1567
FormLLWWW
28%
72%
Fair odds · Jadach
Model 72% · 1.39vsMarket 78% · 1.29· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 57%Total ~72 pts
0-3
31%
1-3
26%
2-3
15%
3-2
12%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+215
H2H13-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+215)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-2)