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18 Oct · 17:20 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
GMGrzegorz Mucha
🇵🇱Grzegorz Mucha
ELO 1510
0-3Final setsSzurgot won
ASAndrzej Szurgot
🇵🇱Andrzej Szurgot
ELO 1463
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Mucha at 62%. The actual result was Andrzej Szurgot 0-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mucha favoured — closing 1.27
Upset
Total 75.5
55 points played
Under
Set handicap
Mucha −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Mucha −6.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Grzegorz Mucha is favoured to win, below means Andrzej Szurgot.

▲ Grzegorz Muchapre 66% → final 0%
Andrzej Szurgot ▼
Biggest swing 74 ptsSzurgot recovered from 26%55 points · 3 games