18 Oct · 22:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JO
🇵🇱Jacek Oracz
ELO 1666
FormWLLWW
77%Win chancemodel fair 1.30Oracz
KK
🇵🇱Kacper Kwiatkowski
ELO 1396
FormLLLLW
77%
23%
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 77% · 1.30vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 61%Total ~76 pts
3-0
33%
3-1
28%
3-2
16%
2-3
10%
1-3
9%
Elo Gap+270
H2H9-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+270)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-1)