19 Oct · 00:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AL
🇵🇱Adam Linek
ELO 1466
FormWWWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Linek
JG
🇵🇱Jakub Glanowski
ELO 1445
FormWLLWL
52%
48%
🌟Linek goes over total as favourite 65% (34)
Fair odds · Linek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~79 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+21
H2H31-41
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.