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18 Oct · 12:15 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MSMaciej Sinicki
🇵🇱Maciej Sinicki
ELO 1341
0-3Final setsNosiadek won
JNJakub Nosiadek
🇵🇱Jakub Nosiadek
ELO 1357
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Sinicki at 51%. The actual result was Jakub Nosiadek 0-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Nosiadek favoured — closing 1.8
Favourite won
Total 74.5
51 points played
Under
Set handicap
Nosiadek −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Nosiadek −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Maciej Sinicki is favoured to win, below means Jakub Nosiadek.

▲ Maciej Sinickipre 47% → final 1%
Jakub Nosiadek ▼
Biggest swing 51 pts50 points · 3 games