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18 Oct · 12:20 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
RGRafal Gajda
🇵🇱Rafal Gajda
ELO 1528
3-0Final setsGajda won
WBWitold Buczynski
🇵🇱Witold Buczynski
ELO 1384
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Gajda at 68%. The actual result was Rafal Gajda 3-0 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Gajda favoured — closing 1.52
Favourite won
Total 75.5
60 points played
Under
Set handicap
Gajda −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Gajda −4.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
4.55
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Rafal Gajda is favoured to win, below means Witold Buczynski.

▲ Rafal Gajdapre 66% → final 100%
Witold Buczynski ▼
Biggest swing 34 pts48 points · 3 games