19 Oct · 00:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JZ
🇵🇱Jacek Zelezik
ELO 1659
FormWLWWW
76%Win chancemodel fair 1.32Zelezik
KK
🇵🇱Kacper Kwiatkowski
ELO 1396
FormLLLLW
76%
24%
Fair odds · Zelezik
Model 76% · 1.32vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 60%Total ~75 pts
3-0
33%
3-1
28%
3-2
16%
2-3
10%
1-3
9%
Elo Gap+263
H2H12-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+263)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-6)