18 Oct · 23:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
ZN
🇵🇱Zbigniew Nocun
ELO 1513
FormWWWWW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Nocun
AS
🇵🇱Andrzej Szurgot
ELO 1423
FormLWLWW
60%
40%
Fair odds · Nocun
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 43%Total ~77 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+90
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+90)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)