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18 Oct · 12:40 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
PSPiotr Staniszewski
🇵🇱Piotr Staniszewski
ELO 1367
0-3Final setsPoloszczanski won
DPDawid Poloszczanski
🇵🇱Dawid Poloszczanski
ELO 1313
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Staniszewski at 60%. The actual result was Dawid Poloszczanski 0-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Staniszewski favoured — closing 1.75
Upset
Total 76.5
73 points played
Under
Set handicap
Staniszewski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Staniszewski −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Piotr Staniszewski is favoured to win, below means Dawid Poloszczanski.

▲ Piotr Staniszewskipre 57% → final 11%
Dawid Poloszczanski ▼
Biggest swing 71 ptsPoloszczanski recovered from 23%72 points · 5 games