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18 Oct · 16:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
LPLukasz Pietraszko
🇵🇱Lukasz Pietraszko
ELO 1598
3-0Final setsPietraszko won
BSBartosz Sulkowski
🇵🇱Bartosz Sulkowski
ELO 1486
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Pietraszko at 56%. The actual result was Lukasz Pietraszko 3-0 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Lukasz Pietraszko favoured — closing 1.42
Favourite won
Total 74.5
49 points played
Under
Set handicap
Lukasz Pietraszko −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Lukasz Pietraszko −5.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
4.1
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Lukasz Pietraszko is favoured to win, below means Bartosz Sulkowski.

▲ Lukasz Pietraszkopre 53% → final 100%
Bartosz Sulkowski ▼
Biggest swing 53 pts48 points · 3 games