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18 Oct · 13:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
RGRafal Gajda
🇵🇱Rafal Gajda
ELO 1528
3-2Final setsGajda won
WWWojciech Wojtaszczyk
🇵🇱Wojciech Wojtaszczyk
ELO 1545
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Wojtaszczyk at 51%. The actual result was Rafal Gajda 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Wojciech Wojtaszczyk favoured — closing 1.42
Upset
Total 73.5
89 points played
Over
Set handicap
Wojciech Wojtaszczyk −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Wojciech Wojtaszczyk −5.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
6.25
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Rafal Gajda is favoured to win, below means Wojciech Wojtaszczyk.

▲ Rafal Gajdapre 45% → final 89%
Wojciech Wojtaszczyk ▼
Biggest swing 71 ptsGajda recovered from 18%72 points · 4 games