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18 Oct · 13:50 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MMMarcin Marchlewski
🇵🇱Marcin Marchlewski
ELO 1623
1-3Final setsKesik won
GKGracjan Kesik
🇵🇱Gracjan Kesik
ELO 1509
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Marchlewski at 65%. The actual result was Gracjan Kesik 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Marcin Marchlewski favoured — closing 1.5
Upset
Total 73.5
67 points played
Under
Set handicap
Marcin Marchlewski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Marcin Marchlewski −4.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Marcin Marchlewski is favoured to win, below means Gracjan Kesik.

▲ Marcin Marchlewskipre 70% → final 0%
Gracjan Kesik ▼
Biggest swing 73 ptsKesik recovered from 27%66 points · 4 games