Jakub Michalski vs Rafal Gajda — TT Elite Series

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18 Oct · 14:20 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed

🇵🇱Jakub Michalski

ELO 1363

3-1Final setsMichalski won

🇵🇱Rafal Gajda

ELO 1528

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Gajda at 71%. The actual result was Jakub Michalski 3-1 — the underdog won.

Jakub Michalski — profile →Rafal Gajda — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Rafal Gajda favoured — closing 1.5

Upset

Set handicap

Rafal Gajda −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Rafal Gajda −4.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Under

Exact score

market priced 3-1 at close

5.3

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jakub Michalski is favoured to win, below means Rafal Gajda.

▲ Jakub Michalskipre 30% → final 6%

Rafal Gajda ▼

Biggest swing 55 ptsGajda recovered from 39%72 points · 4 games