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18 Oct · 15:05 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
PJPatryk Jedrzejak
🇵🇱Patryk Jedrzejak
ELO 1632
3-0Final setsJedrzejak won
RGRafal Gajda
🇵🇱Rafal Gajda
ELO 1528
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Jedrzejak at 61%. The actual result was Patryk Jedrzejak 3-0 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Patryk Jedrzejak favoured — closing 1.55
Favourite won
Total 76.5
54 points played
Under
Set handicap
Patryk Jedrzejak −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Patryk Jedrzejak −3.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
4.75
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Patryk Jedrzejak is favoured to win, below means Rafal Gajda.

▲ Patryk Jedrzejakpre 58% → final 79%
Rafal Gajda ▼
Biggest swing 75 ptsJedrzejak recovered from 7%72 points · 5 games