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18 Oct · 15:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
JMJakub Michalski
🇵🇱Jakub Michalski
ELO 1363
3-1Final setsMichalski won
WBWitold Buczynski
🇵🇱Witold Buczynski
ELO 1384
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Buczynski at 52%. The actual result was Jakub Michalski 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Witold Buczynski favoured — closing 1.3
Upset
Total 73.5
68 points played
Under
Set handicap
Witold Buczynski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Witold Buczynski −7.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
7.25
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jakub Michalski is favoured to win, below means Witold Buczynski.

▲ Jakub Michalskipre 51% → final 100%
Witold Buczynski ▼
Biggest swing 49 pts46 points · 3 games